Eastern Kentucky
W-L: ( 4-11) PR = 90.2018Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 3- 4 206 H Boston College ACC (14-38, 90.4) 4- 8 207 A Penn State B10 (32-22, 95.0) 2- 4 208 A Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 3- 1 211 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 11- 1 213 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 7- 4 220 A Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 5- 4 221 A Georgia Southern SB (19-31, 90.6) 0- 5 301 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 7-11 301 H Pittsburgh ACC (26-25, 90.7) 7-11 310 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 0- 8 331 H Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 4-12 407 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 2- 5 421 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 1- 6 505 H North Florida ASUN ( 6- 5, 93.8) 5- 8
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H South Alabama 3- 4 -1 -1 0.44
206 H Boston College 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.54
207 A Penn State 2- 4 -2 -6 + 3.50
208 A Pittsburgh 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.25
211 A UTSA 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 10.89
213 H UTSA 7- 4 3 1 + 2.41
220 A Notre Dame 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.53
221 A Georgia Southern 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.82
301 H Pittsburgh 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.23
301 H Pittsburgh 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.23
310 A Western Kentucky 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.87
331 H Louisville 4-12 -8 -5 - -3.39
407 A Kentucky 2- 5 -3 -4 1.27
421 H Marshall 1- 6 -5 -3 - -2.08
505 H North Florida 5- 8 -3 -3 -0.14
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Boston College 4- 8 -4 1 -- -4.54 301 H Pittsburgh 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.23 301 H Pittsburgh 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.23 221 A Georgia Southern 0- 5 -5 -1 - -3.82 310 A Western Kentucky 0- 8 -8 -4 - -3.87 331 H Louisville 4-12 -8 -5 - -3.39 421 H Marshall 1- 6 -5 -3 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A UTSA 11- 1 10 -1 +++ 10.89 220 A Notre Dame 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.53 207 A Penn State 2- 4 -2 -6 + 3.50 208 A Pittsburgh 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.25 213 H UTSA 7- 4 3 1 + 2.41 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 3- 4 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 1.68 -6.94
3 H Boston College (14-38, 90.4) 4- 8 -9.49 9.88 -0.74 1.68 -8.60
3 A Penn State (32-22, 95.0) 2- 4 -4.94 14.43 0.74 1.68 -3.53
3 A Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 3- 1 -9.19 10.18 0.74 1.68 36.72
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 11- 1 -9.55 9.82 0.74 1.68 35.50
3 H UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 7- 4 -9.55 9.82 -0.74 1.68 30.51
3 A Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 5- 4 -6.91 12.46 0.74 1.68 44.37
3 A Georgia Southe (19-31, 90.6) 0- 5 -9.26 10.11 0.74 1.68 -7.15
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 7-11 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 1.68 -8.34
3 H Pittsburgh (26-25, 90.7) 7-11 -9.19 10.18 -0.74 1.68 -8.34
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 0- 8 -6.31 13.06 0.74 1.68 -4.68
3 H Louisville (45-15, 95.6) 4-12 -4.35 15.02 -0.74 1.68 -4.28
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 2- 5 -6.17 13.20 0.74 1.68 -4.56
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 1- 6 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 1.68 -5.69
3 H North Florida ( 6- 5, 93.8) 5- 8 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 1.68 -5.75
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79.24
|
winning pts = 147.0957 losing points = -67.8547
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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